I saw the models going back & forth with the possibility of a colder storm, but when there isn't consistency I am going to err on the side of warm & less snow. I'd rather be surprised by a colder snowier storm than to get all hyped about a big snow that doesn't happen. After sunny mild weather thru next weekend, looking for a change in the pattern next week. Several storms are going to be coming in to our North. Going to have to watch them closely because one is most likely going to come far enough South to give us some snow.
This map show the 3-month precip forecast that the National Weather Service (NWS) just put out. You can see that they are projecting a wet fall & start to winter for all of CA!

In today's El Nino update region 1+2 warmed back to an even 0, region 3 stayed the same, region 3/4 warmed a tenth to .9, & region 4 warmed 2 tenths to 1.2. The SOI has also gone very negative the past 2 weeks & the 30 & 90 day average is now negative. There is also a warm Kelvin wave heading across the Pacific. This all suggest further strengthening in the next couple of weeks.
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