Monday, March 7, 2011

7 More Weeks of Winter.......

Sierra picked up another 11 inches in the past 24 hours bringing to storm total to 15 inches so far. A heavier snowband formed this morning over the mountain so at least a couple more inches likely going to be added to the totals tomorrow morning. Sierra has now picked up over 500 inches on the season so far and we still have 7-8 more weeks until the end of the season.

Will have to watch the radar this morning as the core of the low moves over the area as more snow showers and snow bands may form. Other than that it is cold today with highs in the 20's on the mountain and around freezing at the base. Tue-Thu is dry with highs in the 40's.

The pattern is quite progressive over the long-range with the teleconnections mostly neutral. Starting this Thursday going out 10+ days there is a storm about every other day or so. We will get the Southern egde of a storm Thursday night and Saturday night with light snow possible. The bigger affect will most likely be a quick shot of colder air.

Then the ridge may retrograding a little further West in the Pacific allowing a storm to dig a little further South on Monday the 14th and another on Wednesday. Those would be a nice shot of cold snow to freshen things up. The best chance at another bigger shot of snow still looks to be Friday the 18th as the ridge may retrograde a bit further West as a strong storm comes across the Pacific and digs South picking up lots of moisture before it hits the West coast.

As we get into the middle of March we have to start taking the long-range models with a grain of salt. They are much less accurate with the change in the pattern going into Spring. With that in mind they are hinting at continued storminess with another storm possible Monday the 21st. Teleconnections are not as favorable for big West coast storms, but they are also not favorable for ridging yet either. They are in a pattern of progressive zonal flow for now, so will have to keep an eye on the forecasts. Stay tuned......BA

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