Friday, December 2, 2011

Eastern Pacific Ridge Keeping the Storm Door Shut...

High pressure off the West Coast continues to push the storm track up into Alaska and Canada.  Looking at the forecast models that pattern looks to cotinue for another week or two.  In the meantime we will continue to get shots of cold and in between have seasonal temperatures.

This week the final Winter forecast came out from Accuweather.com.  They continue to show us getting above average snowfall for the season even with the late start.  It is not uncommon in Tahoe, especially in a La Nina year, for the snowfall to not really kick in until closer to Christmas.

That should be the case this season.  We should see the snowfall begin to pick up as we get past mid-month and hed into true Winter.  My thinking for the season in Tahoe based on the history of La Ninas with similar strengths to this one is that we will pick up around 105% of average snowfall. 

Sierra At Tahoe averages 480 inches of snow per season which is still really good for an average year.  With slightly above average snowfall expected this Winter we should see just over 500 inches for the season.  Although we are off to a slow start here in December it will come soon enough.  BA

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