Thursday, March 28, 2013

Interesting Weather

Slow moving system still on track for this weekend. The biggest change is to decrease total precip amounts in accordance with the latest model trends. The models may be moving the low out too fast though. The snow levels will start high Saturnday night and then start falling during the day Sunday reaching 7000 ft. by the end of the day. The question is how much precip falls ahead of and behind the snow level drops. The snow levels should come down even lower Sunday night into Monday as the cold core of the low moves over the area.

It looks like we could see 3-6 inches above 8000 ft. Sat. night through Sunday and another 3-6 inches Sun night into Monday above 7000 ft. Even a few inches possible down to the base.

We clear out on Tuesday and Wednesday before another round of warm precip moves in Thursday as another low moves towards the West Coast streaming in moisture. We Should see some more light rain with snow levels above 8000 ft. The GFS forecast model slowly moves this storm towards the coast towards and then inland the next weekend. It slowly lowers the snow levels similar to this weekend, but with heavier precip amounts. The European forecast models move the low inland to our North much more quickly and then have a colder storm dropping out of the Gulf of Alaska next weekend. The European solution could bring a significant snow storm for all levels while the GFS would bring mostly another high elevation snow event.

So some interesting weather this weekend as we see how much cold air works in and how much precip we can get to fall once it does. Then very interesting weather to watch for next weekend with the potential for the biggest snowfall since Christmas if the European model is correct. BA

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