Wednesday, February 20, 2013

A Miss But We'll Take It

We picked up another 4 inches on the mountain yesterday bringing the storm total to 6 inches.

The low tracked straight down the coast fooling every forecast model and forecaster yesterday. We were looking for about double what feel, but we will take snow no matter how much falls.

We will be stuck in this pattern through next Tuesday with cold lows dropping into the Pacific NW from the Gulf of Alaska. The first one tomorrow will only bring us clouds. The following two for Saturday and again Tuesday will bring us the chance of a dusting to a few inches. The ridge off the coast will be too close for them to dig down the coast and bring us significant snow.

Looking at the long-range forecast models there is a big discrepancy. The GFS forecast model puts a large low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska and aims a strong jet stream into the Pacific NW by the end of next week, with the ridge building over the West. It tries to push the jet South into our area the first weekend in March, and then again around the 6th. The Euro builds the ridge over the West the end of next week, but also builds one over Alaska with the low pressure to its South forming a Rex Block. That blocks all storms away from the West Coast from Canada down to CA. It too tries to break the jet stream through into CA around the 6th.

We will have to see if the we can get something going the first week of March.

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