Monday, February 18, 2013

Here Comes the Snow

Tomorrow is storm day as the anticipated snow will finally arrive. Expecting light snow as early as tonight but the heaviest snow will be Tuesday, with snow showers lingering through Tuesday night. The forecast still looks good for 6-12 inches for the base, and 12-18 inches on the mountain.

The unsettled pattern is going to continue for the next week but this first storm looks like it will be the strongest. A very weak system will drop down from the North on Thursday and we may only see a few flakes with this one or a dusting. The ridge will be moving closer to the coast keeping the strongest part of the storms into the Pacific NW.

The next system drops down from the North Saturday. This one has some more moisture but the exact track is uncertain as it drops down to our East over Nevada. If the track is far enough West we could pick up several inches of snow. Each of these systems dropping down from the North will reinforce the cold air.

There will be another system dropping down from the North next Tuesday. Right now it looks like another cold and weak system, but the ridge may retrograde enough for it to pick up a bit more moisture. After that the GFS forecast model has another potential system dropping in Thursday and then builds in the ridge off the coast keeping the storms to our North. The Europrean model brings the ridge in by the middle of next week cutting off the storms. We may have another break in the action for week 2 but overall still expecting March to be a much stormier month than January and February.

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