5 Inches and Coming Down

It began snowing on the mountain around 10 p.m. last night. As of the 5 a.m. there was 5 inches on the mountain, but it has been snowing heavily since so there is more than that out there. 4 day totals are now up to 11 inches on the mountain.

Heavier more steady snow was beginning to push in at 6 a.m. The heaviest snow should fall this morning and then turn more showery this afternoon. Snow amounts are where we thought they would be this morning. Expecting another 4-8 inches on the mountain by tonight bringing totals to 10-15 inches.

Tonight some snow showers will linger and start to taper off. Last evening the forecast models including the GFS all jumped East with the track of the low down the coast on Thursday. That boosted snow totals through Friday. This morning they have all jumped West further off the coast. That track would bring only a slight chance of additional snow showers Thursday into Thursday night, with maybe a couple of inches on the mountain.

I'm hoping we see a correction back East in some of the runs today. If we do then we could see several more inches the next 2 days. Some of the tracks shown by the forecast models yesterday and the day before brought enough snow to double what fell today. I talked about the big spread in the forecasted totals yesterday due to the uncertainty of the track of the low down the coast.

The ridge of high pressure begins to build in this weekend with warming temperatures back into the 40's and 50's by early next week. The long-range models are still all over the place the second half of next week and beyond. We have to continue to watch the forecast models try to iron out the details. The setup is still there for us to get a lot of precip by the end of next week. If the ridge over Alaska is too far North and the ridge setting up in the Central Pacific is too far West, then the trough may be a bit too far off the coast, and that will keep the precip just to our North a little longer. No matter which forecast model run you are looking at they all still bring a chance of precip between the 14th-18th, so we will keep watching.

Until then enjoy the snow on the slopes today! BA